Question 1Multiple choiceHypothesis testing (t-tests, chi-square)
A coffee machine is set to dispense 250 mL per cup. A technician suspects the setting has drifted and measures 16 cups, finding a sample mean of 246 mL and a sample standard deviation of 8 mL. Assume fill volumes are approximately normally distributed. Test against at the 5% significance level. (Critical value: .) Which conclusion is correct?
- A.
; fail to reject , since
- B.
; reject , since
- C.
; fail to reject , since
- D.
; reject , since
Worked solution
The population standard deviation is unknown and the sample is small (), so the appropriate procedure is a one-sample -test with degrees of freedom; the normality assumption is what makes the distribution valid at this sample size.
Compute the standard error of the mean, which measures how much sample means vary from sample to sample:
The test statistic measures how many standard errors the sample mean lies from the hypothesized mean:
For a two-sided test at with 15 degrees of freedom, the rejection region is . Here , so the observed mean is not far enough from 250 mL to be statistically significant: we fail to reject . (Equivalently, the two-sided -value is about 0.064, which exceeds 0.05.) There is insufficient evidence at the 5% level that the machine's mean fill volume has drifted from 250 mL.
The tempting wrong answer is B, which compares with the standard normal critical value 1.96; that is only appropriate when is known or is large, and with 15 degrees of freedom the critical value is larger, which flips the decision. Option C uses itself as the standard error (forgetting to divide by ), and option D uses instead of .
; since , we fail to reject (option A).